Trends in the economy have been mixed to this point in 2022. The labor market has remained tight, and unemployment is near all-time lows. Inflation has dragged down consumer sentiment and prompted the Federal Reserve to raise rates.
The first half of 2022 recorded 9.8 percent rent growth year-over-year. Additional rent growth is forecast to continue for the second half, but the pace of increases is expected to be more modest.
The investment market remained active in the first half, and cap rates averaged 4.2 percent as investors continued to allocate capital to multifamily assets. The start of the third quarter has recorded some cooling as buyers and selling adjust to the new pricing.
Multifamily mortgage originations began 2022 on an upswing, with the Mortgage Bankers Association reporting a 57 percent year-over-year spike in the first quarter. As market conditions shifted in the second quarter, the agencies became more aggressive in underwriting transactions.
As of July 2022, consumer prices had posted some of their fastest increases in more than 40 years.
Low unemployment has led to higher wages, which has somewhat offset the impact of rising prices.
Vacancy dropped 20 basis points in the first half of this year and should remain flat in the coming quarters.
Developers respond to strong renter demand by moving more projects into the construction pipeline.
Additional rent growth is forecast for the second half, but the pace of increases will be more modest.
With interest rates on the rise, cap rates have ticked up from 2021 levels. Cap rates averaged 4.2 percent in the first half.
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Shannon has been in the real estate industry for 27 years. He has been involved from start to finish on over $350M in construction projects covering the gamut from multi family, professional office buildings to City halls, fire and police stations, schools, industrial and mini storage.
As a developer with over 25 years of personal and hands-on development and construction experience, few in this industry are more dedicated to delivering numerous passive income streams to their syndicate partners. Along with my knowledgeable and dedicated team, we at Shannon Robnett Industries (SRI) create a second-to-none investor experience.